Soccer World Cup 2022

Win probabilities (in %) based on current ELO ratings (www.eloratings.net). Predicted outcome of group stage matches based on those probabilties.

Group Stage

Team 1Team 2Actual/PredictionPointsGoals
GROUP A
QatarEcuador02
NetherlandsSenegal20
QatarSenegal13
NetherlandsEcuador11
NetherlandsQatar20
EcuadorSenegal12
Netherlands7+4
Senegal6+1
Ecuador4+1
Qatar0-6
GROUP B
EnglandIran62
United StatesWales11
WalesIran02
EnglandUnited States00
WalesEngland03
IranUnited States01
England7+7
United States5+1
Iran3-3
Wales1-5
GROUP C
ArgentinaSaudi Arabia12
MexicoPoland00
PolandSaudi Arabia20
ArgentinaMexico20
PolandArgentina19%81%win by 1
Saudi ArabiaMexico32%68%win by 1
Argentina6+2
Poland4+1
Mexico4-1
Saudi Arabia3-2
GROUP D
DenmarkTunisia00
FranceAustralia41
TunisiaAustralia01
FranceDenmark21
TunisiaFrance12%88%win by 2
AustraliaDenmark25%75%win by 1
France9+6
Denmark40
Australia3-3
Tunisia1-3
GROUP E
GermanyJapan12
SpainCosta Rica70
JapanCosta Rica01
SpainGermany11
JapanSpain18%82%win by 1
Costa RicaGermany27%73%win by 1
Spain7+8
Germany40
Japan3-1
Costa Rica3-7
GROUP F
MoroccoCroatia00
BelgiumCanada10
BelgiumMorocco02
CroatiaCanada41
CroatiaBelgium50%50%draw
CanadaMorocco34%66%win by 1
Morocco7+3
Croatia5+3
Belgium4-1
Canada0-5
GROUP G
SwitzerlandCameroon10
BrazilSerbia20
CameroonSerbia33
BrazilSwitzerland10
CameroonBrazil4%96%win by 3
SerbiaSwitzerland44%56%draw
Brazil9+6
Switzerland40
Serbia2-2
Cameroon1-4
GROUP H
UruguaySouth Korea00
PortugalGhana32
South KoreaGhana23
PortugalUruguay20
South KoreaPortugal16%84%win by 2
GhanaUruguay17%83%win by 1
Portugal9+5
Uruguay4-1
Ghana3-1
South Korea1-3

Second stage:

Netherlands 77%
United States 23% |
| Netherlands 42%
| Argentina 58% |
Argentina 73% | |
Denmark 27% |
| Argentina 37%
| Brazil 63% |
Spain 65% | |
Croatia 35% | | |
| Spain 31% | |
| Brazil 69% |
Brazil 85% | |
Uruguay 15% |
| Brazil 70%
| France 30%
France 76% |
Poland 24% | |
| France 61% |
| England 39% | |
England 68% | | |
Ecuador 32% | |
| France 50% |
| Portugal 50%
Morocco 39% |
Germany 61% | |
| Germany 34% |
| Portugal 66%
Portugal 69% |
Switzerland 31%

Earthquakes – Daily Monitoring

Daily earthquake monitor data provided by USGS (usgs.gov). The data updates hourly.

“Day” is defined as the 24 hours from midnight UTC.

“Single event equivalent” is the magnitude of an earthquake equivalent to all the earthquakes of that day combined in a single event. This is an experimental feature.

Earthquakes Today 2022-11-30 (incomplete period)

Number of earthquakes: 6
Strongest earthquake: 3.1
Single event equivalent: 3.13

Earthquakes Yesterday 2022-11-29 (events subject to review)

Number of earthquakes: 10
Strongest earthquake: 5.5
Single event equivalent: 5.66 Continue reading “Earthquakes – Daily Monitoring”

Soccer World Cup 2022: Qualifiers – South America – Live Predictions

These tables show the current standings and games, as well as a forecasted final ranking in the group, estimating the outcome of future games using the current soccer ELO ratings published on eloratings.net. This is a demonstration of how actual and forecasted values can be merged into one using a single metric. Home teams are listed vertically, away teams horizontally; the intersection display either the actual score or the predicted goal difference, date of the game and home-team win probability.

Continue reading “Soccer World Cup 2022: Qualifiers – South America – Live Predictions”

Soccer World Cup 2022: Qualifiers – Europe – Live Predictions

These tables show the current standings and games, as well as a forecasted final ranking in the group, estimating the outcome of future games using the current soccer ELO ratings published on eloratings.net. This is a demonstration of how actual and forecasted values can be merged into one using a single metric. Home teams are listed vertically, away teams horizontally; the intersection display either the actual score or the predicted goal difference, date of the game and home-team win probability.

Continue reading “Soccer World Cup 2022: Qualifiers – Europe – Live Predictions”

Soccer World Cup 2022: Qualifiers – South America (10 Oct ’21)

These tables show the current standings and games, as well as a forecasted final ranking in the group, estimating the outcome of future games using the current soccer ELO ratings published on eloratings.net. This is a demonstration of how actual and forecasted values can be merged into one using a single metric. Home teams are listed vertically, away teams horizontally; the intersection display either the actual score or the predicted goal difference, date of the game and home-team win probability.

Continue reading “Soccer World Cup 2022: Qualifiers – South America (10 Oct ’21)”

Soccer World Cup 2022: Qualifiers – Europe (8/9 Oct ’21)

These tables show the current standings and games, as well as a forecasted final ranking in the group, estimating the outcome of future games using the current soccer ELO ratings published on eloratings.net. This is a demonstration of how actual and forecasted values can be merged into one using a single metric. Home teams are listed vertically, away teams horizontally; the intersection display either the actual score or the predicted goal difference, date of the game and home-team win probability.

Continue reading “Soccer World Cup 2022: Qualifiers – Europe (8/9 Oct ’21)”

Soccer World Cup 2022: Qualifiers – South America (7 Oct ’21)

These tables show the current standings and games, as well as a forecasted final ranking in the group, estimating the outcome of future games using the current soccer ELO ratings published on eloratings.net. This is a demonstration of how actual and forecasted values can be merged into one using a single metric. Home teams are listed vertically, away teams horizontally; the intersection display either the actual score or the predicted goal difference, date of the game and home-team win probability.

Continue reading “Soccer World Cup 2022: Qualifiers – South America (7 Oct ’21)”