Soccer World Cup 2022

Posted on 18/12/202227/12/2022 by

Win probabilities (in %) based on current ELO ratings (www.eloratings.net). Predicted outcome of group stage matches based on those probabilties.

Second stage:

Netherlands	3
United States	1	\|
		\|	Netherlands	2 (3)
		\|	Argentina	2 (4)	\|
Argentina	2	\|			\|
Australia	1				\|
					\|	Argentina	3
					\|	Croatia	0	\|
Japan	1 (1)				\|			\|
Croatia	1 (3)	\|			\|			\|
		\|	Croatia	1 (4)	\|			\|
		\|	Brazil	1 (2)				\|
Brazil	4	\|						\|
South Korea	1							\|
						Croatia	2	\|	Argentina	3 (4)
						Morocco	1	\|	France	3 (2)
France	3							\|
Poland	1	\|						\|
		\|	France	2				\|
		\|	England	1	\|			\|
England	3	\|			\|			\|
Senegal	0				\|			\|
					\|	France	2	\|
					\|	Morocco	0
Morocco	0 (3)				\|
Spain	0 (0)	\|			\|
		\|	Morocco	1	\|
		\|	Portugal	0
Portugal	6	\|
Switzerland	1

Group Stage

Team 1	Team 2	Actual/Prediction				Points	Goals
GROUP A
Qatar	Ecuador	0	2
Netherlands	Senegal	2	0
Qatar	Senegal	1	3
Netherlands	Ecuador	1	1
Netherlands	Qatar	2	0
Ecuador	Senegal	1	2
					Netherlands	7	+4
					Senegal	6	+1
					Ecuador	4	+1
					Qatar	0	-6
GROUP B
England	Iran	6	2
United States	Wales	1	1
Wales	Iran	0	2
England	United States	0	0
Wales	England	0	3
Iran	United States	0	1
					England	7	+7
					United States	5	+1
					Iran	3	-3
					Wales	1	-5
GROUP C
Argentina	Saudi Arabia	1	2
Mexico	Poland	0	0
Poland	Saudi Arabia	2	0
Argentina	Mexico	2	0
Poland	Argentina	0	2
Saudi Arabia	Mexico	1	2
					Argentina	6	+3
					Poland	4	0
					Mexico	4	-1
					Saudi Arabia	3	-2
GROUP D
Denmark	Tunisia	0	0
France	Australia	4	1
Tunisia	Australia	0	1
France	Denmark	2	1
Tunisia	France	1	0
Australia	Denmark	1	0
					France	6	+3
					Australia	6	-1
					Tunisia	4	0
					Denmark	1	-2
GROUP E
Germany	Japan	1	2
Spain	Costa Rica	7	0
Japan	Costa Rica	0	1
Spain	Germany	1	1
Japan	Spain	2	1
Costa Rica	Germany	2	4
					Japan	6	+1
					Spain	4	+6
					Germany	4	+1
					Costa Rica	3	-8
GROUP F
Morocco	Croatia	0	0
Belgium	Canada	1	0
Belgium	Morocco	0	2
Croatia	Canada	4	1
Croatia	Belgium	0	0
Canada	Morocco	1	2
					Morocco	7	+3
					Croatia	5	+3
					Belgium	4	-1
					Canada	0	-5
GROUP G
Switzerland	Cameroon	1	0
Brazil	Serbia	2	0
Cameroon	Serbia	3	3
Brazil	Switzerland	1	0
Cameroon	Brazil	1	0
Serbia	Switzerland	2	3
					Brazil	6	+2
					Switzerland	6	+1
					Cameroon	4	0
					Serbia	1	-3
GROUP H
Uruguay	South Korea	0	0
Portugal	Ghana	3	2
South Korea	Ghana	2	3
Portugal	Uruguay	2	0
South Korea	Portugal	2	1
Ghana	Uruguay	0	2
					Portugal	6	+2
					South Korea	4	0
					Uruguay	4	0
					Ghana	3	-2