Soccer World Cup 2022: Qualifiers – South America

These tables show the current standings and games, as well as a forecasted final ranking in the group, estimating the outcome of future games using the current soccer ELO ratings published on eloratings.net. This is a demonstration of how actual and forecasted values can be merged into one using a single metric. Home teams are listed vertically, away teams horizontally; the intersection display either the actual score or the predicted goal difference, date of the game and home-team win probability.

WorldCup 2022: Qualifier – South America

 TeamCurrentForecastBrazilArgentinaUruguayColombiaPeruEcuadorParaguayChileVenezuelaBolivia
1Brazil8 / 24 (+17)50 (+30)
tba
+1 (70%)
14 Oct 2021
+1 (84%)
11 Nov 2021
+2 (85%)
2 – 0
2 – 0
1 Feb 2022
+2 (92%)
24 Mar 2022
+2 (93%)
1 – 0
5 – 0
2Argentina8 / 18 (+9)41 (+17)
16 Nov 2021
draw (57%)
10 Oct 2021
+1 (79%)
1 Feb 2022
+1 (81%)
14 Oct 2021
+2 (89%)
1 – 0
1 – 1
1 – 1
24 Mar 2022
+2 (94%)
3 – 0
3Uruguay9 / 15 (+3)30 (+6)
0 – 2
11 Nov 2021
draw (45%)
7 Oct 2021
+1 (67%)
24 Mar 2022
+1 (79%)
1 – 0
0 – 0
2 – 1
1 Feb 2022
+2 (87%)
4 – 2
4Colombia9 / 13 (0)29 (+2)

draw (35%)
2 – 2
0 – 3
27 Jan 2022
+1 (77%)

+1 (79%)
16 Nov 2021
+1 (79%)
3 – 1
3 – 0
24 Mar 2022
+2 (93%)
5Peru9 / 8 (-9)24 (-7)
2 – 4
0 – 2
1 – 1
0 – 3
1 Feb 2022
+1 (67%)
29 Mar 2022
+1 (66%)
7 Oct 2021
+1 (69%)
1 – 0
11 Nov 2021
+2 (87%)
6Ecuador9 / 13 (+5)22 (+4)
27 Jan 2022
-1 (20%)
29 Mar 2022
-1 (25%)
4 – 2
6 – 1
1 – 2
2 – 0
0 – 0
11 Nov 2021
+1 (74%)
7 Oct 2021
+2 (85%)
7Paraguay9 / 11 (-2)20 (-5)
0 – 2
7 Oct 2021
-1 (26%)
27 Jan 2022
draw (43%)
1 – 1
2 – 2
24 Mar 2022
draw (65%)
11 Nov 2021
+1 (66%)
2 – 1
2 – 2
8Chile9 / 7 (-3)14 (-7)
0 – 1
27 Jan 2022
-1 (24%)
29 Mar 2022
draw (40%)
2 – 2
2 – 0
16 Nov 2021
draw (62%)
10 Oct 2021
draw (61%)
14 Oct 2021
+1 (72%)
1 – 1
9Venezuela9 / 4 (-10)9 (-18)
7 Oct 2021
-2 (14%)
1 – 3
0 – 0
29 Mar 2022
-1 (35%)
16 Nov 2021
draw (50%)
10 Oct 2021
draw (53%)
0 – 1
2 – 1
27 Jan 2022
+1 (79%)
10Bolivia9 / 6 (-10)7 (-22)
29 Mar 2022
-2 (7%)
1 – 2
16 Nov 2021
-1 (18%)
1 – 1
10 Oct 2021
-1 (32%)
2 – 3
14 Oct 2021
-1 (34%)
1 Feb 2022
draw (37%)
3 – 1

Technical notes: Output is generated from 2 base tables (games and ELO ratings). Actual results subject to verification. Also, mapping of win likelihood based on ELO values to expected goal difference it haphazard at this stage.