Soccer World Cup 2022: Actual versus Expectations

Top 5 teams who performed better than expected throughout the tournament:

  • 1. Morocco (+101). 2. France (+77). 3. Cameroon (+69). 4. Japan (+63). 5. Senegal (+60)

Bottom 5 teams who performed worse than expected throughout the tournament:

  • 28. Serbia (-63). 29. Canada (-64). 30. Wales (-73). 31. Denmark (-88). 32. Qatar (-102)

Top 5 teams who performed better than expected in the group stage.

  • 1. Morocco (+105). 2. Senegal (+86). 3. Cameroon (+69). 4. Australia (+60). 5. Japan (+54)

Source: Statistics above based on changes to ELO ratings before the first game and after the last group-stage game according to eloratings.net.