Soccer World Cup 2022: Qualifiers – South America (7 Oct ’21)

These tables show the current standings and games, as well as a forecasted final ranking in the group, estimating the outcome of future games using the current soccer ELO ratings published on eloratings.net. This is a demonstration of how actual and forecasted values can be merged into one using a single metric. Home teams are listed vertically, away teams horizontally; the intersection display either the actual score or the predicted goal difference, date of the game and home-team win probability.

WorldCup 2022: Qualifier – South America

 TeamCurrentForecastBrazilArgentinaColombiaUruguayPeruEcuadorParaguayChileVenezuelaBolivia
1Brazil9 / 27 (+19)50 (+30)
tba
+1 (70%)
11 Nov 2021
+2 (85%)
14 Oct 2021
+1 (84%)
2 - 0
2 - 0
1 Feb 2022
+2 (92%)
24 Mar 2022
+2 (93%)
1 - 0
5 - 0
2Argentina9 / 19 (+9)39 (+16)
16 Nov 2021
draw (57%)
1 Feb 2022
+1 (81%)
10 Oct 2021
+1 (79%)
14 Oct 2021
+2 (89%)
1 - 0
1 - 1
1 - 1
24 Mar 2022
+2 (94%)
3 - 0
3Colombia10 / 14 (0)30 (+3)

draw (35%)
2 - 2
0 - 3
27 Jan 2022
+1 (77%)

+1 (79%)
16 Nov 2021
+1 (79%)
3 - 1
3 - 0
24 Mar 2022
+2 (93%)
4Uruguay10 / 16 (+3)28 (+5)
0 - 2
11 Nov 2021
draw (45%)
0 - 0
24 Mar 2022
+1 (79%)
1 - 0
0 - 0
2 - 1
1 Feb 2022
+2 (87%)
4 - 2
5Peru10 / 11 (-7)24 (-6)
2 - 4
0 - 2
0 - 3
1 - 1
1 Feb 2022
+1 (67%)
29 Mar 2022
+1 (66%)
2 - 0
1 - 0
11 Nov 2021
+2 (87%)
6Ecuador10 / 16 (+8)22 (+5)
27 Jan 2022
-1 (20%)
29 Mar 2022
-1 (25%)
6 - 1
4 - 2
1 - 2
2 - 0
0 - 0
11 Nov 2021
+1 (74%)
3 - 0
7Paraguay10 / 12 (-2)21 (-4)
0 - 2
0 - 0
1 - 1
27 Jan 2022
draw (43%)
2 - 2
24 Mar 2022
draw (65%)
11 Nov 2021
+1 (66%)
2 - 1
2 - 2
8Chile10 / 7 (-5)14 (-8)
0 - 1
27 Jan 2022
-1 (24%)
2 - 2
29 Mar 2022
draw (40%)
2 - 0
16 Nov 2021
draw (62%)
10 Oct 2021
draw (61%)
14 Oct 2021
+1 (72%)
1 - 1
9Venezuela10 / 4 (-12)9 (-18)
1 - 3
1 - 3
29 Mar 2022
-1 (35%)
0 - 0
16 Nov 2021
draw (50%)
10 Oct 2021
draw (53%)
0 - 1
2 - 1
27 Jan 2022
+1 (79%)
10Bolivia10 / 6 (-13)7 (-23)
29 Mar 2022
-2 (7%)
1 - 2
1 - 1
16 Nov 2021
-1 (18%)
10 Oct 2021
-1 (32%)
2 - 3
14 Oct 2021
-1 (34%)
1 Feb 2022
draw (37%)
3 - 1

Technical notes: Output is generated from 2 base tables (games and ELO ratings). Actual results subject to verification. Also, mapping of win likelihood based on ELO values to expected goal difference it haphazard at this stage.