These tables show the current standings and games, as well as a forecasted final ranking in the group, estimating the outcome of future games using the current soccer ELO ratings published on eloratings.net. This is a demonstration of how actual and forecasted values can be merged into one using a single metric. Home teams are listed vertically, away teams horizontally; the intersection display either the actual score or the predicted goal difference, date of the game and home-team win probability.
WorldCup 2022: Qualifier – South America
Team | Current | Forecast | Brazil | Argentina | Colombia | Uruguay | Ecuador | Peru | Chile | Paraguay | Bolivia | Venezuela | |
1 | Brazil | 12 / 34 (+23) | 50 (+31) | +1 (70%) | +2 (93%) | +2 (92%) | |||||||
2 | Argentina | 12 / 28 (+14) | 41 (+18) | draw (57%) | +1 (81%) | +2 (94%) | |||||||
3 | Colombia | 13 / 16 (-1) | 28 (+3) | +1 (77%) | +1 (79%) | +2 (93%) | |||||||
4 | Uruguay | 13 / 16 (-4) | 27 (0) | +1 (79%) | +2 (87%) | ||||||||
5 | Ecuador | 13 / 20 (+8) | 22 (+5) | -1 (20%) | -1 (25%) | ||||||||
6 | Peru | 13 / 14 (-6) | 21 (-6) | +1 (67%) | +1 (66%) | ||||||||
7 | Chile | 13 / 16 (+1) | 19 (-2) | -1 (24%) | draw (40%) | draw (62%) | |||||||
8 | Paraguay | 13 / 12 (-9) | 14 (-13) | draw (43%) | draw (65%) | ||||||||
9 | Bolivia | 13 / 12 (-11) | 13 (-17) | -2 (7%) | -1 (18%) | draw (37%) | |||||||
10 | Venezuela | 13 / 7 (-15) | 11 (-19) | -1 (35%) | draw (50%) | +1 (79%) |
Technical notes: Output is generated from 2 base tables (games and ELO ratings). Actual results subject to verification. Also, mapping of win likelihood based on ELO values to expected goal difference it haphazard at this stage.