Soccer World Cup 2022: Qualifiers – South America – Live Predictions

These tables show the current standings and games, as well as a forecasted final ranking in the group, estimating the outcome of future games using the current soccer ELO ratings published on eloratings.net. This is a demonstration of how actual and forecasted values can be merged into one using a single metric. Home teams are listed vertically, away teams horizontally; the intersection display either the actual score or the predicted goal difference, date of the game and home-team win probability.

WorldCup 2022: Qualifier – South America

 TeamCurrentForecastBrazilArgentinaColombiaUruguayEcuadorPeruChileParaguayBoliviaVenezuela
1Brazil12 / 34 (+23)50 (+31)
tba
+1 (70%)
1 - 0
4 - 1
2 - 0
2 - 0
24 Mar 2022
+2 (93%)
1 Feb 2022
+2 (92%)
5 - 0
1 - 0
2Argentina12 / 28 (+14)41 (+18)
16 Nov 2021
draw (57%)
1 Feb 2022
+1 (81%)
3 - 0
1 - 0
1 - 0
1 - 1
1 - 1
3 - 0
24 Mar 2022
+2 (94%)
3Colombia13 / 16 (-1)28 (+3)
0 - 0
2 - 2
0 - 3
0 - 0
27 Jan 2022
+1 (77%)
3 - 1
16 Nov 2021
+1 (79%)
24 Mar 2022
+2 (93%)
3 - 0
4Uruguay13 / 16 (-4)27 (0)
0 - 2
0 - 1
0 - 0
1 - 0
24 Mar 2022
+1 (79%)
2 - 1
0 - 0
4 - 2
1 Feb 2022
+2 (87%)
5Ecuador13 / 20 (+8)22 (+5)
27 Jan 2022
-1 (20%)
29 Mar 2022
-1 (25%)
6 - 1
4 - 2
1 - 2
0 - 0
2 - 0
3 - 0
1 - 0
6Peru13 / 14 (-6)21 (-6)
2 - 4
0 - 2
0 - 3
1 - 1
1 Feb 2022
+1 (67%)
2 - 0
29 Mar 2022
+1 (66%)
3 - 0
1 - 0
7Chile13 / 16 (+1)19 (-2)
0 - 1
27 Jan 2022
-1 (24%)
2 - 2
29 Mar 2022
draw (40%)
16 Nov 2021
draw (62%)
2 - 0
2 - 0
1 - 1
3 - 0
8Paraguay13 / 12 (-9)14 (-13)
0 - 2
0 - 0
1 - 1
27 Jan 2022
draw (43%)
24 Mar 2022
draw (65%)
2 - 2
0 - 1
2 - 2
2 - 1
9Bolivia13 / 12 (-11)13 (-17)
29 Mar 2022
-2 (7%)
1 - 2
1 - 1
16 Nov 2021
-1 (18%)
2 - 3
1 - 0
1 Feb 2022
draw (37%)
4 - 0
3 - 1
10Venezuela13 / 7 (-15)11 (-19)
1 - 3
1 - 3
29 Mar 2022
-1 (35%)
0 - 0
2 - 1
16 Nov 2021
draw (50%)
2 - 1
0 - 1
27 Jan 2022
+1 (79%)

Technical notes: Output is generated from 2 base tables (games and ELO ratings). Actual results subject to verification. Also, mapping of win likelihood based on ELO values to expected goal difference it haphazard at this stage.