Soccer World Cup 2022: Qualifiers – South America (10 Oct ’21)

These tables show the current standings and games, as well as a forecasted final ranking in the group, estimating the outcome of future games using the current soccer ELO ratings published on eloratings.net. This is a demonstration of how actual and forecasted values can be merged into one using a single metric. Home teams are listed vertically, away teams horizontally; the intersection display either the actual score or the predicted goal difference, date of the game and home-team win probability.

WorldCup 2022: Qualifier – South America

 TeamCurrentForecastBrazilArgentinaColombiaUruguayEcuadorPeruParaguayChileVenezuelaBolivia
1Brazil10 / 28 (+19)50 (+30)
tba
+1 (70%)
11 Nov 2021
+2 (85%)
14 Oct 2021
+1 (84%)
2 - 0
2 - 0
1 Feb 2022
+2 (92%)
24 Mar 2022
+2 (93%)
1 - 0
5 - 0
2Argentina10 / 22 (+12)39 (+18)
16 Nov 2021
draw (57%)
1 Feb 2022
+1 (81%)
3 - 0
1 - 0
14 Oct 2021
+2 (89%)
1 - 1
1 - 1
24 Mar 2022
+2 (94%)
3 - 0
3Colombia11 / 15 (0)30 (+3)
0 - 0
2 - 2
0 - 3

+1 (79%)
27 Jan 2022
+1 (77%)
16 Nov 2021
+1 (79%)
3 - 1
3 - 0
24 Mar 2022
+2 (93%)
4Uruguay11 / 16 (0)28 (+3)
0 - 2
11 Nov 2021
draw (45%)
0 - 0
1 - 0
24 Mar 2022
+1 (79%)
0 - 0
2 - 1
1 Feb 2022
+2 (87%)
4 - 2
5Ecuador11 / 16 (+7)21 (+4)
27 Jan 2022
-1 (20%)
29 Mar 2022
-1 (25%)
6 - 1
4 - 2
1 - 2
2 - 0
0 - 0
11 Nov 2021
+1 (74%)
3 - 0
6Peru11 / 11 (-8)21 (-8)
2 - 4
0 - 2
0 - 3
1 - 1
1 Feb 2022
+1 (67%)
29 Mar 2022
+1 (66%)
2 - 0
1 - 0
11 Nov 2021
+2 (87%)
7Paraguay11 / 12 (-4)20 (-6)
0 - 2
0 - 0
1 - 1
27 Jan 2022
draw (43%)
24 Mar 2022
draw (65%)
2 - 2
11 Nov 2021
+1 (66%)
2 - 1
2 - 2
8Chile11 / 10 (-3)16 (-6)
0 - 1
27 Jan 2022
-1 (24%)
2 - 2
29 Mar 2022
draw (40%)
16 Nov 2021
draw (62%)
2 - 0
2 - 0
14 Oct 2021
+1 (72%)
1 - 1
9Venezuela11 / 7 (-11)11 (-17)
1 - 3
1 - 3
29 Mar 2022
-1 (35%)
0 - 0
2 - 1
16 Nov 2021
draw (50%)
0 - 1
2 - 1
27 Jan 2022
+1 (79%)
10Bolivia11 / 9 (-12)10 (-21)
29 Mar 2022
-2 (7%)
1 - 2
1 - 1
16 Nov 2021
-1 (18%)
2 - 3
1 - 0
14 Oct 2021
-1 (34%)
1 Feb 2022
draw (37%)
3 - 1

Technical notes: Output is generated from 2 base tables (games and ELO ratings). Actual results subject to verification. Also, mapping of win likelihood based on ELO values to expected goal difference it haphazard at this stage.