Soccer World Cup 2022: Qualifiers – Europe

These tables show the current standings and games, as well as a forecasted final ranking in the group, estimating the outcome of future games using the current soccer ELO ratings published on eloratings.net. This is a demonstration of how actual and forecasted values can be merged into one using a single metric. Home teams are listed vertically, away teams horizontally; the intersection display either the actual score or the predicted goal difference, date of the game and home-team win probability.

WorldCup 2022: Qualifier – Europe: Group A

 TeamCurrentForecastPortugalSerbiaRepublic of IrelandLuxembourgAzerbaijan
1Portugal5 / 13 (+7)22 (+14)
14/11/2021
+2 (86%)
2 – 1
12/10/2021
+3 (98%)
1 – 0
2Serbia5 / 11 (+5)17 (+7)
2 – 2
3 – 2
4 – 1
12/10/2021
+3 (95%)
3Republic of Ireland5 / 2 (-3)8 (-3)
11/11/2021
-2 (15%)
1 – 1
0 – 1
1 – 1
4Luxembourg4 / 6 (-3)7 (-8)
1 – 3
09/10/2021
-1 (15%)
14/11/2021
-1 (35%)
2 – 1
5Azerbaijan5 / 1 (-6)2 (-10)
0 – 3
1 – 2
09/10/2021
-1 (31%)
11/11/2021
draw (60%)



WorldCup 2022: Qualifier – Europe: Group B

 TeamCurrentForecastSpainSwedenGreeceKosovoGeorgia
1Spain6 / 13 (+8)19 (+10)
14/11/2021
+1 (81%)
1 – 1
3 – 1
4 – 0
2Sweden4 / 9 (+4)18 (+7)
2 – 1
12/10/2021
+1 (83%)
09/10/2021
+2 (93%)
1 – 0
3Greece4 / 6 (+1)10 (0)
11/11/2021
-1 (21%)
2 – 1
14/11/2021
+1 (83%)
1 – 1
4Kosovo5 / 4 (-6)7 (-8)
0 – 2
0 – 3
1 – 1
12/10/2021
+1 (67%)
5Georgia5 / 1 (-7)2 (-9)
1 – 2
11/11/2021
-1 (17%)
09/10/2021
draw (36%)
0 – 1



WorldCup 2022: Qualifier – Europe: Group C

 TeamCurrentForecastItalySwitzerlandNorthern IrelandBulgariaLithuania
1Italy6 / 14 (+11)20 (+14)
12/11/2021
+1 (82%)
2 – 0
1 – 1
5 – 0
2Switzerland4 / 8 (+3)17 (+9)
0 – 0
09/10/2021
+2 (91%)
15/11/2021
+2 (94%)
1 – 0
3Northern Ireland4 / 5 (+1)9 (-1)
15/11/2021
-2 (11%)
0 – 0
0 – 0
12/11/2021
+2 (92%)
4Bulgaria5 / 5 (-3)9 (-4)
0 – 2
1 – 3
12/10/2021
draw (54%)
1 – 0
5Lithuania5 / 0 (-12)0 (-18)
0 – 2
12/10/2021
-3 (5%)
1 – 4
09/10/2021
-1 (31%)



WorldCup 2022: Qualifier – Europe: Group D

 TeamCurrentForecastFranceUkraineFinlandBosnia-HerzegovinaKazakhstan
1France6 / 12 (+5)18 (+9)
1 – 1
2 – 0
1 – 1
13/11/2021
+3 (99%)
2Ukraine5 / 5 (0)10 (+1)
1 – 1
1 – 1
12/10/2021
+1 (82%)
1 – 1
3Finland4 / 5 (-1)10 (-1)
16/11/2021
-1 (20%)
09/10/2021
draw (52%)
2 – 2
1 – 0
4Bosnia-Herzegovina4 / 3 (-1)8 (-1)
0 – 1
16/11/2021
draw (41%)
13/11/2021
draw (54%)
2 – 2
5Kazakhstan5 / 3 (-3)3 (-8)
0 – 2
2 – 2
12/10/2021
-1 (21%)
09/10/2021
-1 (29%)



WorldCup 2022: Qualifier – Europe: Group E

 TeamCurrentForecastBelgiumCzech RepublicWalesBelarusEstonia
1Belgium6 / 16 (+17)22 (+21)
3 – 0
3 – 1
8 – 0
13/11/2021
+3 (99%)
2Czech Republic5 / 7 (+1)16 (+6)
1 – 1
08/10/2021
+1 (67%)
1 – 0
16/11/2021
+3 (95%)
3Wales4 / 7 (0)13 (+1)
16/11/2021
-1 (21%)
1 – 0
13/11/2021
+2 (92%)
0 – 0
4Belarus5 / 3 (-9)4 (-12)
0 – 1
11/10/2021
-1 (19%)
2 – 3
4 – 2
5Estonia4 / 1 (-9)2 (-16)
2 – 5
2 – 6
11/10/2021
-1 (15%)
08/10/2021
draw (54%)



WorldCup 2022: Qualifier – Europe: Group F

 TeamCurrentForecastDenmarkScotlandIsraelAustriaFaroe IslandsMoldova
1Denmark6 / 18 (+22)30 (+31)
2 – 0
5 – 0
12/10/2021
+2 (89%)
12/11/2021
+3 (99%)
8 – 0
2Scotland6 / 11 (+4)18 (+6)
15/11/2021
-1 (22%)
09/10/2021
draw (64%)
2 – 2
4 – 0
1 – 0
3Israel6 / 10 (+3)17 (+7)
0 – 2
1 – 1
5 – 2
15/11/2021
+2 (95%)
12/10/2021
+3 (96%)
4Austria6 / 7 (-4)16 (0)
0 – 4
0 – 1
12/11/2021
+1 (71%)
3 – 1
15/11/2021
+3 (97%)
5Faroe Islands6 / 4 (-10)4 (-18)
0 – 1
12/10/2021
-1 (15%)
0 – 4
09/10/2021
-2 (12%)
2 – 1
6Moldova6 / 1 (-15)1 (-26)
09/10/2021
-3 (2%)
12/11/2021
-2 (11%)
1 – 4
0 – 2
1 – 1



WorldCup 2022: Qualifier – Europe: Group G

 TeamCurrentForecastNetherlandsNorwayTurkeyMontenegroLatviaGibraltar
1Netherlands6 / 13 (+16)25 (+25)
16/11/2021
+1 (84%)
6 – 1
4 – 0
2 – 0
11/10/2021
+3 (100%)
2Norway6 / 13 (+7)20 (+11)
1 – 1
0 – 3
11/10/2021
+2 (87%)
13/11/2021
+3 (96%)
5 – 1
3Turkey6 / 11 (+3)19 (+8)
4 – 2
08/10/2021
draw (58%)
2 – 2
3 – 3
13/11/2021
+3 (99%)
4Montenegro6 / 8 (-1)12 (-3)
13/11/2021
-2 (14%)
0 – 1
16/11/2021
draw (37%)
0 – 0
4 – 1
5Latvia6 / 5 (-3)8 (-10)
08/10/2021
-3 (4%)
0 – 2
11/10/2021
-2 (14%)
1 – 2
3 – 1
6Gibraltar6 / 0 (-22)0 (-31)
0 – 7
0 – 3
0 – 3
08/10/2021
-2 (13%)
16/11/2021
-1 (33%)



WorldCup 2022: Qualifier – Europe: Group H

 TeamCurrentForecastCroatiaRussiaSlovakiaSloveniaCyprusMalta
1Croatia6 / 13 (+7)25 (+13)
14/11/2021
+1 (77%)
11/10/2021
+1 (84%)
3 – 0
1 – 0
3 – 0
2Russia6 / 13 (+6)20 (+9)
0 – 0
08/10/2021
+1 (74%)
2 – 1
11/11/2021
+3 (95%)
2 – 0
3Slovakia6 / 9 (+2)15 (+3)
0 – 1
2 – 1
11/11/2021
+1 (71%)
2 – 0
2 – 2
4Slovenia6 / 7 (-3)14 (-1)
1 – 0
11/10/2021
draw (45%)
1 – 1
14/11/2021
+2 (91%)
1 – 0
5Cyprus6 / 4 (-7)7 (-13)
08/10/2021
-2 (7%)
0 – 2
0 – 0
1 – 0
11/10/2021
+1 (71%)
6Malta6 / 4 (-5)4 (-11)
11/11/2021
-2 (5%)
1 – 3
14/11/2021
-2 (15%)
08/10/2021
-1 (19%)
3 – 0



WorldCup 2022: Qualifier – Europe: Group I

 TeamCurrentForecastEnglandPolandHungaryAlbaniaAndorraSan Marino
1England6 / 16 (+16)28 (+27)
2 – 1
12/10/2021
+2 (92%)
12/11/2021
+3 (96%)
4 – 0
5 – 0
2Poland6 / 11 (+11)23 (+19)
1 – 1
15/11/2021
+1 (73%)
4 – 1
3 – 0
09/10/2021
+3 (100%)
3Hungary6 / 10 (+2)16 (+3)
0 – 4
3 – 3
09/10/2021
+1 (80%)
2 – 1
12/11/2021
+3 (100%)
4Albania6 / 12 (+4)15 (+2)
0 – 2
12/10/2021
-1 (35%)
1 – 0
15/11/2021
+3 (98%)
5 – 0
5Andorra6 / 3 (-7)6 (-15)
09/10/2021
-3 (1%)
12/11/2021
-3 (2%)
1 – 4
0 – 1
5 – 0
6San Marino6 / 0 (-26)0 (-36)
15/11/2021
-3 (0%)
1 – 7
0 – 3
0 – 2
12/10/2021
-1 (34%)



WorldCup 2022: Qualifier – Europe: Group J

 TeamCurrentForecastGermanyRomaniaNorth MacedoniaArmeniaIcelandLiechtenstein
1Germany6 / 15 (+15)27 (+22)
08/10/2021
+2 (89%)
1 – 2
6 – 0
3 – 0
11/11/2021
+3 (100%)
2Romania6 / 10 (+3)19 (+5)
0 – 1
3 – 2
11/10/2021
+1 (76%)
11/11/2021
+1 (77%)
2 – 0
3North Macedonia6 / 9 (+5)16 (+7)
11/10/2021
-1 (17%)
0 – 0
0 – 0
14/11/2021
+1 (65%)
5 – 0
4Armenia6 / 11 (-2)13 (-4)
14/11/2021
-1 (17%)
3 – 2
11/11/2021
draw (64%)
2 – 0
1 – 1
5Iceland6 / 4 (-8)8 (-7)
0 – 4
0 – 2
2 – 2
08/10/2021
draw (63%)
11/10/2021
+3 (96%)
6Liechtenstein6 / 1 (-13)1 (-23)
0 – 2
14/11/2021
-2 (7%)
08/10/2021
-2 (11%)
0 – 1
1 – 4

Technical notes: Output is generated from 2 base tables (games and ELO ratings). Actual results subject to verification. Also, mapping of win likelihood based on ELO values to expected goal difference it haphazard at this stage.